Other packages > Find by keyword >

wired  

Weighted Adaptive Prediction with Structured Dependence
View on CRAN: Click here


Download and install wired package within the R console
Install from CRAN:
install.packages("wired")

Install from Github:
library("remotes")
install_github("cran/wired")

Install by package version:
library("remotes")
install_version("wired", "1.0.0")



Attach the package and use:
library("wired")
Maintained by
Giancarlo Vercellino
[Scholar Profile | Author Map]
All associated links for this package
First Published: 2026-02-06
Latest Update: 2026-02-06
Description:
Builds a joint probabilistic forecast across series and horizons using adaptive copulas (Gaussian/t) with shrinkage-repaired correlations. At the low level it calls a probabilistic mixer per series and horizon, which backtests several simple predictors, predicts next-window Continuous Ranked Probability Score (CRPS), and converts those scores into softmax weights to form a calibrated mixture (r/q/p/dfun). The mixer blends eight simple predictors: a naive predictor that wraps the last move in a PERT distribution; an arima predictor using auto.arima for one-step forecasts; an Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) gaussian predictor with mean/variance under a Gaussian; a historical bootstrap predictor that resamples past horizon-aligned moves; a drift residual bootstrap predictor combining linear trend with bootstrapped residuals; a volatility-scaled naive predictor centering on the last move and scaling by recent volatility; a robust median mad predictor using median/MAD with Laplace or Normal shape; and a shrunk quantile predictor that fits a few quantile regressions over time and interpolates to a full predictive. The function then couples the per-series mixtures on a common transform (additive/multiplicative/log-multiplicative), simulates coherent draws, and returns both transformed- and level-scale samplers and summaries.
How to cite:
Giancarlo Vercellino (2026). wired: Weighted Adaptive Prediction with Structured Dependence. R package version 1.0.0, https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/wired. Accessed 06 Aug. 2026.
Previous versions and publish date:
(2026-07-09 07:00), 1.0.0 (2026-02-06 15:20)
Other packages that cited wired R package
View wired citation profile
Other R packages that wired depends, imports, suggests or enhances
Complete documentation for wired
Functions, R codes and Examples using the wired R package
Full wired package functions and examples
Downloads during the last 30 days

Today's Hot Picks in Authors and Packages

RRedshiftSQL  
R Interface to the 'Redshift' Database
Superclasses 'PostgreSQL' connection to help enable full 'dplyr' functionality on 'Redshift'. ...
Download / Learn more Package Citations See dependency  
TMDb  
Access to TMDb API
Provides an R-interface to the TMDb API (see TMDb API on < ...
Download / Learn more Package Citations See dependency  
r2resize  
In-Text Resize for Images, Tables and Fancy Resize Containers in 'shiny', 'rmarkdown' and 'quarto' Documents
Automatic resizing toolbar for containers, images and tables. Various resizable or expandable contai ...
Download / Learn more Package Citations See dependency  
SAMBA  
Selection and Misclassification Bias Adjustment for Logistic Regression Models
Health research using data from electronic health records (EHR) has gained popularity, but miscla ...
Download / Learn more Package Citations See dependency  
lsmeans  
Least-Squares Means
Obtain least-squares means for linear, generalized linear, and mixed models. Compute contrasts or l ...
Download / Learn more Package Citations See dependency  

28,083

R Packages

239,283

Dependencies

74,457

Author Associations

28,084

Publication Badges

© Copyright since 2022. All right reserved, rpkg.net.  Based in Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA